0x6b8e14a2754c9ff549b4da1e5751223b3f7d5f7b
0x6b8e14a2754c9ff549b4da1e5751223b3f7d5f7b
- Realised P&L
- $-15.27
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $11.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.335 | $3.84 | −$2.00 |
| Will Andrei Svechnikov record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? · No | 0.570 | 0.490 | $2.53 | −$0.41 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.007 | $1.95 | −$0.84 |
| Will Juwan Johnson have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes | 0.735 | 0.265 | $1.76 | −$3.13 |
| Will Sheldon Creed win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship? · Yes | 0.204 | 0.049 | $1.37 | −$4.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.82at 0.306Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 18?
- +$4.00at 0.695Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
- +$3.16at 0.403Bitcoin Up or Down on October 14?
- +$0.85at 0.645Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?
- +$0.80at 0.181Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 18:22 | Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs? | BUY | 0.5099999284 | $2.92 |
| 10-21 18:22 | Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs? | BUY | 0.5099999284 | $2.92 |
| 10-21 11:24 | Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25? | SELL | 0.74 | $6.91 |
| 10-19 07:52 | Will Andrei Svechnikov record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.5699999709 | $2.94 |
| 10-19 03:17 | Will Andrei Svechnikov record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.18 |
| 10-18 17:47 | Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25? | BUY | 0.6299999596 | $2.96 |
| 10-18 17:47 | Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25? | BUY | 0.6347498655 | $2.95 |
| 10-18 17:42 | Will Andrei Svechnikov record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.7499998742 | $2.98 |
| 10-18 05:22 | Will Juwan Johnson have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.6599999242 | $2.96 |
| 10-18 02:51 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October? | SELL | 0.78 | $3.09 |
| 10-17 19:18 | Will Juwan Johnson have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.65 | $0.77 |
| 10-16 15:05 | Will Sheldon Creed win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship? | BUY | 0.2409999848 | $2.89 |
| 10-16 15:05 | Will Sheldon Creed win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship? | BUY | 0.176236698 | $2.87 |
| 10-16 11:22 | Will Juwan Johnson have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.8899998955 | $2.98 |
| 10-16 10:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? | SELL | 0.991 | $2.98 |