PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

severse

0x6b8418f12e086ecb619bf231b5cbbc6cec75f056

Realised P&L
$-300.03
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$17.34

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes0.2730.170$17.34$10.52
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026? · No0.5810.000$0.00$23.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 03:18Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?BUY0.27$8.10
07-14 03:17Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?BUY0.27$10.80
07-14 03:15Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?BUY0.28$8.96
04-24 06:43Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?BUY0.581$23.24
02-02 04:07Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?SELL0.622$2.2k
01-30 08:18Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?BUY0.698$2.5k
01-30 07:31Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.7$2.5k
01-30 02:15Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.6989914286$2.4k