mtdtech
0x6b7cea49280c32e99bf9debb094143407f4fb6c8
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $55.57
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $10.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 22? · Yes | 0.361 | 0.650 | $3.60 | +$1.60 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.710 | $3.50 | −$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 23? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.245 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 23? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 22? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.120 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 22? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.044 | $0.64 | −$0.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 22? · Yes | 0.254 | 0.009 | $0.03 | −$0.97 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.1714285518 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 22? | BUY | 0.0689999982 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.3609755798 | $2.00 |
| 10-22 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.2536585168 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 23? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 23? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 04:39 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999675 | $3.55 |