PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF8c48Ea9248BFaD602f16e9AF2517df179BA600c-1760202397276

0x6b79b1c48f8ea577964b5bf9285198a405cfd13a

Realised P&L
$-3.84
Volume
$631.70
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$199.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? · Yes0.7310.850$102.00+$14.30
Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? · Yes0.8400.925$37.00+$3.40
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.3180.350$35.05+$3.26
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · Yes0.2600.251$25.05−$0.95
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 09:41Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?BUY0.26$26.00
10-30 14:10Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.3173203075$4.95
10-22 13:25Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?BUY0.84$33.60
10-19 14:28Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election?BUY0.75$7.50
10-17 16:38Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election?BUY0.73$73.00
10-17 12:03Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.6099999956$62.00
06-08 07:45Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?BUY0.0209999797$1.00
06-05 15:52Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?BUY0.082773431$10.00