0xF8c48Ea9248BFaD602f16e9AF2517df179BA600c-1760202397276
0x6b79b1c48f8ea577964b5bf9285198a405cfd13a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.84
- Volume
- $631.70
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $199.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.731 | 0.850 | $102.00 | +$14.30 |
| Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.925 | $37.00 | +$3.40 |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.318 | 0.350 | $35.05 | +$3.26 |
| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.251 | $25.05 | −$0.95 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.16at 0.620Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 09:41 | Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 10-30 14:10 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.3173203075 | $4.95 |
| 10-22 13:25 | Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? | BUY | 0.84 | $33.60 |
| 10-19 14:28 | Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 10-17 16:38 | Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.73 | $73.00 |
| 10-17 12:03 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6099999956 | $62.00 |
| 06-08 07:45 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | BUY | 0.0209999797 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 15:52 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | BUY | 0.082773431 | $10.00 |