0x6b742d1fb5518884b1997ed6d1d41fa5c12a6d0c
0x6b742d1fb5518884b1997ed6d1d41fa5c12a6d0c
- Realised P&L
- $1.41
- Volume
- $211.82
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $6.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.650 | $1.86 | +$0.86 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.905 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? · No | 0.690 | 0.670 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No | 0.670 | 0.605 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No | 0.440 | 0.395 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.405 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.63at 0.237Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.249Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?
- +$2.95at 0.410Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$2.70at 0.432Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 22:11 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 14:04 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 05:51 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 21:44 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 01:34 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 01:34 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:32 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:21 | Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:20 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:20 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6909997879 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:19 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:18 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 05:52 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 21:50 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 18:34 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |