PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6b742d1fb5518884b1997ed6d1d41fa5c12a6d0c

0x6b742d1fb5518884b1997ed6d1d41fa5c12a6d0c

Realised P&L
$1.41
Volume
$211.82
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$6.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? · Yes0.3500.650$1.86+$0.86
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.7300.905$1.24+$0.24
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? · No0.6900.670$0.97−$0.03
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No0.6700.605$0.90−$0.10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No0.4400.395$0.90−$0.10
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? · Yes0.4600.405$0.88−$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 22:11Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-10 14:04Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-10 05:51Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-09 21:44Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-09 01:34Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
10-09 01:34Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-08 17:32Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-08 07:21Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-07 23:20Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-07 23:20Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.6909997879$1.00
10-07 23:19Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-07 15:18Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
10-07 05:52Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-05 21:50Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
10-02 18:34Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00