tikkag
0x6b71a1b49dc87852a4290bb34b12718dfd66d6a8
- Realised P&L
- $-48.30
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $38.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France pass a national budget by December 31? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.400 | $38.00 | −$1.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will it rain in New York, NY on August 21? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.20 |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.60at 0.444Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?
- +$11.95at 0.592Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs
- +$2.40at 0.740Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
- +$1.73at 0.913Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?
- +$1.20at 0.4902026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:50 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.58 | $8.69 |
| 08-22 10:04 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1659999774 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 10:01 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.62 | $31.00 |
| 08-22 09:59 | Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record? | SELL | 0.953 | $7.01 |
| 08-21 16:56 | Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs | BUY | 0.5799999877 | $17.00 |
| 08-21 16:37 | Will it rain in New York, NY on August 21? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 08-21 16:30 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 16:27 | Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | SELL | 0.928 | $13.62 |
| 08-19 16:33 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.48 | $7.20 |
| 08-19 16:21 | Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 08-19 15:58 | Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | SELL | 0.87 | $26.10 |
| 08-13 15:57 | Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.00 |
| 08-13 15:55 | Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | BUY | 0.925 | $18.50 |
| 08-13 15:54 | Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.83 | $24.90 |
| 08-01 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.6499999594 | $4.00 |