0x6B6F2fFd3b9b914128D687Ab66B0F952AA1aD87E-1785521009338
0x6b6f2ffd3b9b914128d687ab66b0f952aa1ad87e
- Realised P&L
- $-107.44
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $31.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hunter Goodman hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.770 | $9.63 | +$0.50 |
| Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.446 | 0.210 | $6.13 | −$6.87 |
| Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $127? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.875 | $5.47 | +$0.47 |
| Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31? · Stripe | 0.700 | 0.255 | $4.40 | −$7.67 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $268 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.335 | $3.10 | −$1.90 |
| Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.550 | 0.320 | $2.65 | −$1.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.14at 0.280Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.75 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$20.35at 0.280Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $155 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$12.60at 0.380Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$9.07at 0.450Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$8.59at 0.520Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 20:31 | Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $127? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 11:59 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.09 |
| 08-02 23:36 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $155 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 23:35 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $268 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 23:12 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 11:35 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 13:02 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 12:53 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $87.50 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 11:53 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of July 27 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $16.66 |
| 07-29 21:00 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 01:25 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in July? | SELL | 0.9910813688 | $13.03 |
| 07-29 00:31 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 23:41 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $154 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 21:43 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 in July? | BUY | 0.4639999781 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 21:07 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in July? | BUY | 0.7599999878 | $10.00 |