FortunaFelix2
0x6b65c254a553517ed3b7d91b98dd83dd93816e1d
- Realised P&L
- $-104.05
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $3.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.021 | $1.54 | −$10.50 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.090 | $1.21 | −$1.82 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.080 | $0.40 | −$0.10 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer · Tristan Boyer | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.94 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin · Andrey Rublev | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.42at 0.650Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
- +$8.96at 0.830Miami Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Ugo Humbert
- +$6.77at 0.507Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
- +$6.27at 0.710Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?
- +$4.22at 0.680Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 11:15 | Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer | BUY | 0.269999955 | $2.94 |
| 06-29 11:14 | Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin | BUY | 0.38 | $3.04 |
| 06-23 13:39 | Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $6.11 |
| 06-13 08:21 | Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 08:20 | Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 08:20 | Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 08:19 | Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 08:19 | Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 08:19 | Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 08:19 | Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 08:19 | Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 08:18 | Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 08:18 | Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 08:16 | Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.04 |
| 05-29 09:05 | Roland Garros WTA: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatek | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |