aliciageorge-228
0x6b603afebea0431b45d03cbfce7b403b3f148ebe
- Realised P&L
- $-54.79
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $17.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.309 | 0.365 | $15.49 | +$2.38 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? · No | 0.730 | 0.675 | $2.38 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.56at 0.472Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 24?
- +$22.40at 0.574Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 19?
- +$15.36at 0.420Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
- +$14.06at 0.642Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 18?
- +$11.90at 0.612Commanders vs. Ravens
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:47 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? | BUY | 0.7299999886 | $2.57 |
| 09-21 10:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3088221877 | $13.11 |
| 09-18 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5615135528 | $29.51 |
| 09-16 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.2306094656 | $3.47 |
| 09-14 01:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.2099999996 | $5.66 |
| 09-09 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.3699999931 | $18.16 |
| 09-05 17:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 6? | BUY | 0.4099999898 | $19.69 |
| 09-02 12:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 3? | BUY | 0.6199999754 | $23.17 |
| 08-30 20:37 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999736 | $23.85 |
| 08-27 16:14 | Commanders vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.6 | $18.40 |
| 08-25 21:35 | Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.2299999652 | $3.64 |
| 08-23 10:57 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 24? | BUY | 0.4599999973 | $20.54 |
| 08-21 07:47 | Jets vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.4799999888 | $8.60 |
| 08-19 18:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.329999986 | $8.24 |
| 08-18 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.6299999941 | $24.71 |