Akunamataa
0x6b57a1a10595028dc07cc7ec42311f56a90d02ab
- Realised P&L
- $-4.5k
- Volume
- $194.8k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $109.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.879 | $109.94 | +$69.94 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET · Down | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET · Down | 0.371 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$256.15 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET · Up | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.42 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 1PM ET · Down | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.39 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? · Yes | 0.374 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET · Up | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$132.91 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET · Down | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.67 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET · Down | 0.732 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$91.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$560.61at 0.358Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
- +$459.85at 0.668Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 8AM ET
- +$396.51at 0.267Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$294.31at 0.290Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
- +$214.32at 0.574Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-05 13:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999884 | $12.67 |
| 01-05 12:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.34 | $132.91 |
| 01-05 12:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7324 | $91.55 |
| 01-05 08:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4267562252 | $100.00 |
| 01-04 15:16 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.15 | $18.75 |
| 01-04 15:15 | Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $61.54 |
| 01-04 15:15 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.18 | $22.50 |
| 12-16 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3421705343 | $158.57 |
| 12-16 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $97.58 |
| 12-16 18:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.0023002099 | $0.03 |
| 12-16 16:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $4.20 |
| 12-16 16:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2869154843 | $4.65 |
| 12-16 16:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $0.46 |
| 12-16 16:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 12-16 16:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.05288 | $13.22 |