99996
0x6b49340a50f22b04433f0ae382ae148e0c8f8dd6
- Realised P&L
- $751.73
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $144.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.992 | $144.83 | −$0.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$500.00at 0.500Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
- +$230.00at 0.500Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
- +$5.00at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 18?
- +$3.30at 0.967Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 27?
- +$2.08at 0.992Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-02 04:26 | Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.9939999932 | $86.60 |
| 10-30 18:24 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.9839999995 | $86.00 |
| 09-01 14:41 | Lisa Cook arrested by September 30? | BUY | 0.9709999953 | $25.00 |
| 09-01 14:41 | Bitcoin above $102K on September 3? | BUY | 0.9734159492 | $25.00 |
| 09-01 14:41 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? | BUY | 0.9199999975 | $15.00 |
| 06-11 08:18 | Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.60 |
| 06-11 08:18 | Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? | BUY | 0.9719999991 | $25.00 |
| 06-11 08:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | BUY | 0.9809999993 | $25.00 |
| 05-10 09:46 | Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May? | BUY | 0.9929999643 | $21.00 |
| 04-24 07:59 | Will the next Pope be from South America? | BUY | 0.991 | $25.00 |
| 03-16 13:47 | Ethereum all time high by March 31? | BUY | 0.9959999728 | $11.00 |
| 03-16 13:44 | Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.984999959 | $15.00 |
| 03-02 12:42 | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring? | BUY | 0.95 | $15.00 |
| 02-07 08:30 | Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $10.00 |