PABLOESCOBAR25
0x6b49054ed460465eec4791e2a19857557b632e46
- Realised P&L
- $-933.25
- Volume
- $142.6k
- Markets traded
- 759
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded759
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.33at 0.250Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?
- +$107.56at 0.552Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
- +$95.00at 0.582Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$91.18at 0.582Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
- +$88.99at 0.522Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:50 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.419999992 | $14.63 |
| 11-02 00:50 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? | BUY | 0.5299999996 | $13.12 |
| 11-02 00:49 | Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $30.80 |
| 11-01 16:09 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.67 |
| 11-01 06:29 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899998971 | $3.89 |
| 11-01 06:29 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat? | BUY | 0.779999988 | $3.89 |
| 11-01 06:29 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $7.14 |
| 10-31 23:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.8249999966 | $6.09 |
| 10-31 23:00 | Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in January 2027 (ET)? | BUY | 0.7299999689 | $6.10 |
| 10-31 22:59 | Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.943 | $11.97 |
| 10-31 21:25 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.28 |
| 10-31 18:56 | US imports Russian diesel by January 31? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 18:54 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.19 |
| 10-31 11:03 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | BUY | 0.8299999821 | $3.71 |
| 10-31 10:45 | Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999722 | $4.16 |