PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Fruitful-Beret

0x6b48a0364335dd58bc814f3f14756fd918d758fc

Realised P&L
$-16.36
Volume
$74.11
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$4.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-22.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch? · No0.8800.745$4.23−$0.77
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down on January 29? · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.4750.000$0.00−$1.00
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$1.00
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$5.00
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$11.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 07:58Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?BUY0.8799999859$5.00
09-25 07:55Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.183$0.21
02-11 07:10Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?BUY0.8$1.00
02-11 07:08Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?BUY0.32$5.00
02-11 07:08Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 9-15?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
01-29 10:12Ethereum Up or Down on January 29?BUY0.1$1.00
01-29 10:12Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29?BUY0.95$1.00
01-29 10:11Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
01-28 08:14EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.7199999876$11.60
01-27 18:50Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.719999856$1.00
01-27 18:50Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?BUY0.8289999992$1.00
01-27 18:49Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?BUY0.65$1.00
01-27 18:48Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.8809996194$1.00
01-27 18:47Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 1PM ETBUY0.99$1.00
01-27 18:47MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.6899999586$1.00