0xCuck
0x6b47dfaee251f881846cac9200f8d1b4f08330ab
- Realised P&L
- $-348.85
- Volume
- $26.7k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $329.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? · No | 0.797 | 0.935 | $191.68 | +$28.28 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes | 0.478 | 0.195 | $107.25 | −$155.95 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.033 | $29.24 | −$37.68 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.004 | $1.00 | −$41.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$220.22at 0.201U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$158.05at 0.647Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?
- +$114.50at 0.801Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
- +$96.18at 0.785Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?
- +$81.69at 0.701NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 19:27 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $74.61 |
| 08-31 16:44 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $35.20 |
| 08-31 16:39 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 08-30 03:56 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $455.86 |
| 08-30 02:25 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6378143478 | $293.39 |
| 08-28 16:49 | Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 08-28 16:49 | Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 08-28 16:06 | Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 08-27 17:02 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 08-25 16:13 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.55 | $44.00 |
| 08-25 16:09 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 08-22 22:10 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $449.55 |
| 08-20 23:54 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9209688106 | $147.35 |
| 08-20 23:49 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 08-20 23:41 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.915248468 | $62.73 |