PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Desfragmentado

0x6b4564943ed63355d7e59c8a1f605997958f3daf

Realised P&L
$-340.05
Volume
$6.2k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$58.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? · Yes0.8900.935$18.70+$0.90
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? · Yes0.2270.373$16.49+$6.49
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.1830.225$6.75+$1.25
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.1000.060$6.60$4.40
Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · Yes0.1600.200$4.00+$0.80
Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? · Yes0.5500.360$1.96$1.04
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.6370.170$1.70$4.67
Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · Yes0.2850.086$0.90$2.10
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5050.022$0.45$9.65
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0890.029$0.32$0.68
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0880.002$0.11$6.34
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3460.001$0.05$34.57
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No0.2000.000$0.00$4.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1660.000$0.00$8.31
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · No0.5240.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 16:10Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?BUY0.89$17.80
09-11 16:06Will Carol de Toni win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?BUY0.21$4.20
09-11 15:58Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.098$0.98
09-10 16:46Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.19$1.90
09-09 17:16Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?BUY0.16$3.20
09-09 17:15Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?BUY0.2849999943$3.00
09-09 17:14Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?BUY0.549999945$3.00
09-09 17:11Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?BUY0.2265469019$10.00
09-03 11:05Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.54$21.60
07-09 14:34Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.27$2.70
07-07 14:29Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.78$11.70
07-07 14:28Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.53$5.30
07-02 14:19Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.061$62.83
07-02 14:18Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.065$66.89
07-02 14:13Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.184$188.78