Desfragmentado
0x6b4564943ed63355d7e59c8a1f605997958f3daf
- Realised P&L
- $-340.05
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $58.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.64at 0.147Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.55at 0.161Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$10.26at 0.767Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?
- +$8.42at 0.340Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$8.23at 0.371Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 16:10 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 09-11 16:06 | Will Carol de Toni win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-11 15:58 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.098 | $0.98 |
| 09-10 16:46 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 09-09 17:16 | Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 09-09 17:15 | Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.2849999943 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 17:14 | Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 17:11 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | BUY | 0.2265469019 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 11:05 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.54 | $21.60 |
| 07-09 14:34 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 07-07 14:29 | Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.78 | $11.70 |
| 07-07 14:28 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 07-02 14:19 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.061 | $62.83 |
| 07-02 14:18 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.065 | $66.89 |
| 07-02 14:13 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.184 | $188.78 |