PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6b3FC3CC0f503a72cEbb2261D675E673c5519bBc-1784916573096

0x6b3fc3cc0f503a72cebb2261d675e673c5519bbc

Realised P&L
$-8.54
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$1.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0600.041$0.75$0.35
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.005$0.61$0.39
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.005$0.50$0.10
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes0.0410.003$0.06$0.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 07:38Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?BUY0.0414814432$1.00
07-31 17:28Mubadala Citi DC Open (Doubles): Tang/Xu vs Routliffe/SutjiadiBUY0.001$1.00
07-31 16:31Samsun: Paul Inchauspe vs Yanki ErelSELL0.48$2.08
07-31 16:06Samsun: Paul Inchauspe vs Yanki ErelBUY0.2299998275$1.00
07-31 16:01LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonSELL0.11$0.92
07-30 07:33Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?SELL0.721$3.30
07-29 18:40Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.06$1.10
07-29 14:39Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?BUY0.8699999913$2.00
07-29 14:39Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?BUY0.8759999544$2.00
07-29 14:18Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31?SELL0.0369263837$0.69
07-29 14:17Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.137$1.93
07-29 14:16Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?SELL0.997$2.09
07-29 08:04Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.9519999924$2.00
07-29 07:48Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.126$1.77
07-28 05:44ODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs PakistanBUY0.239999856$1.00