0x6b3FC3CC0f503a72cEbb2261D675E673c5519bBc-1784916573096
0x6b3fc3cc0f503a72cebb2261d675e673c5519bbc
- Realised P&L
- $-8.54
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $1.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.041 | $0.75 | −$0.35 |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.005 | $0.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.005 | $0.50 | −$0.10 |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.003 | $0.06 | −$0.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.98at 0.240Samsun: Paul Inchauspe vs Yanki Erel
- +$0.29at 0.101Dota 2: NS Team vs Rostik Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A
- +$0.27at 0.070Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs K28 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group C
- +$0.26at 0.151Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
- +$0.18at 0.080Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs MOUZ NXT (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #6 Group B
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 07:38 | Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | BUY | 0.0414814432 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 17:28 | Mubadala Citi DC Open (Doubles): Tang/Xu vs Routliffe/Sutjiadi | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 16:31 | Samsun: Paul Inchauspe vs Yanki Erel | SELL | 0.48 | $2.08 |
| 07-31 16:06 | Samsun: Paul Inchauspe vs Yanki Erel | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 16:01 | LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | SELL | 0.11 | $0.92 |
| 07-30 07:33 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026? | SELL | 0.721 | $3.30 |
| 07-29 18:40 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.10 |
| 07-29 14:39 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 14:39 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026? | BUY | 0.8759999544 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 14:18 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31? | SELL | 0.0369263837 | $0.69 |
| 07-29 14:17 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.137 | $1.93 |
| 07-29 14:16 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $2.09 |
| 07-29 08:04 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9519999924 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 07:48 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.126 | $1.77 |
| 07-28 05:44 | ODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |