0x6b3ebf87802b149d83081e26a154c1d1d33ebee2
0x6b3ebf87802b149d83081e26a154c1d1d33ebee2
- Realised P&L
- $6.05
- Volume
- $126.01
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $6.48
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.610 | $1.74 | +$0.74 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · No | 0.420 | 0.665 | $1.58 | +$0.58 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.665 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $690 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.690 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.750 | 0.635 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.325 | $0.43 | −$0.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 in August?
- +$1.75at 0.369Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of August 24 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:29 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:28 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $690 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:49 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:43 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:55 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:17 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:14 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 03:12 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $192.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 19:10 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:08 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:08 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 15:04 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:03 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:33 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |