0x6b3e42f56ac0d08391b623b983416e1d4de585ad
- Realised P&L
- $13.49
- Volume
- $109.33
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $13.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $4.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.349 | 0.370 | $4.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.505 | 0.519 | $4.11 | +$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.31at 0.281Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:02 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5049999413 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 15:01 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 07:22 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 07:20 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3489999711 | $4.00 |