AlexxHamilton
0x6b31fc9fb4728231a5fe57615296250cc9085b6f
- Realised P&L
- $796.42
- Volume
- $50.2k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $743.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.928 | 0.945 | $373.27 | +$6.53 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.865 | $216.25 | +$13.75 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.930 | 0.945 | $141.75 | +$2.25 |
| Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.263 | 0.430 | $12.13 | +$4.70 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$475.29at 0.609Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$264.26at 0.799Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$177.58at 0.516Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$165.63at 0.761Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$104.25at 0.796Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 12:05 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 10-27 20:33 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.521 | $28.35 |
| 10-26 22:29 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.235 | $3.48 |
| 10-26 22:20 | Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.80 |
| 10-26 21:04 | Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.00 |
| 10-24 19:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-23 17:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.91 | $7.01 |
| 10-23 11:03 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.03 |
| 10-21 18:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 10-20 12:46 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.05 |
| 10-20 01:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.85 | $70.78 |
| 10-19 23:57 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $17.45 |
| 10-19 16:28 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $25.50 |
| 10-19 16:27 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $22.50 |
| 10-19 16:18 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $7.40 |