0x6B3031225897B8B56d4615269199F52ED999c4F1-1774575096514
0x6b3031225897b8b56d4615269199f52ed999c4f1
- Realised P&L
- $53.42
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $58.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 52 million views on day 3? · Yes | 0.858 | 0.995 | $58.00 | +$8.00 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.001 | $0.17 | −$9.83 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 3? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$14.23 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 46 million views on day 3? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$14.23 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 58 million views on day 3? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$14.23 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 50 million views on day 3? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$7.11 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.236 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.05at 0.357Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?
- +$64.23at 0.520Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
- +$5.30at 0.282Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?
- +$1.75at 0.371Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?
- +$0.20at 0.910Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:15 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 50 million views on day 3? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.95 |
| 09-21 22:08 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 52 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.8578054359 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 13:39 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 52 million views on day 3? | SELL | 0.3205931532 | $36.43 |
| 09-21 13:38 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.34 |
| 09-21 13:38 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 56 million views on day 3? | SELL | 0.0205421104 | $2.33 |
| 09-21 13:35 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 54 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.8799999972 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 14:10 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1? | SELL | 0.0120953869 | $0.81 |
| 09-15 14:09 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.39 | $21.50 |
| 09-13 22:54 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1? | BUY | 0.1488095238 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 22:52 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.2720788741 | $15.00 |
| 09-10 08:30 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $10.00 |
| 08-31 10:52 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 02:04 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $137.10 |
| 08-28 21:58 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.3138498053 | $17.50 |
| 08-28 21:18 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.3681725316 | $30.00 |