all6308
0x6b2f5311dda8dce80126bd2ac12db8b6fb7a2f7a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.32
- Volume
- $555.00
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $3.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 24? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.450 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Vancouver FC win on 2026-09-23? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.385 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will CSD Xelajú MC win on 2026-09-23? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.455 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will AD Tarma win on 2026-09-13? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.150 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.45at 0.164Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?
- +$4.63at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
- +$4.63at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
- +$4.63at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9PM ET
- +$4.53at 0.184Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 18:31 | Will CSD Xelajú MC win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:31 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:30 | Will AD Tarma win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:30 | Will Vancouver FC win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 18:20 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 18:19 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 18:19 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 18:18 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 05:34 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 05:30 | Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 05:30 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 11:28 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 11:28 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 11:28 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 06-23 09:53 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |