mohitshah9920
0x6b2e33718860076543d27680cb40b0c58a75b2fa
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $97.4k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.895 | $2.7k | −$14.99 |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? · No | 0.930 | 0.970 | $1.6k | +$64.74 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.245 | $819.53 | +$94.23 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.559 | 0.085 | $246.57 | −$1.4k |
| Trump x Elon talk before August? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$251.46 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.629Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$486.61at 0.430Will Trump post on X again before election?
- +$271.58at 0.831Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?
- +$255.61at 0.865Will Tesla name a new CEO before July?
- +$214.84at 0.799Will RFK drop out before November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 21:39 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.66 | $52.79 |
| 10-15 21:38 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.65 | $11.02 |
| 10-15 21:38 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.62 | $21.08 |
| 10-15 21:38 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 10-15 21:38 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.6387447699 | $152.66 |
| 08-10 14:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.24 | $101.18 |
| 08-10 14:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $542.42 |
| 07-06 07:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $745.60 |
| 07-06 07:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $225.35 |
| 07-06 07:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $45.90 |
| 07-01 05:43 | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9460091011 | $652.77 |
| 07-01 05:42 | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9425626134 | $51.94 |
| 07-01 05:42 | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.942 | $10.36 |
| 07-01 05:42 | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9360273941 | $740.10 |
| 07-01 05:42 | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.934 | $32.78 |