0x6B24cdE2e124122FF52DdB05160896f43F80Cf25-1764934406179
0x6b24cde2e124122ff52ddb05160896f43f80cf25
- Realised P&L
- $-67.38
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $2.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? · No | 0.490 | 0.385 | $0.97 | −$0.27 |
| Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.765 | 0.560 | $0.79 | −$0.29 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.017 | $0.23 | −$1.01 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in June? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.20 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.42at 0.431Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$7.01at 0.373Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?
- +$3.53at 0.360Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- +$3.03at 0.788Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$2.58at 0.691Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 23:33 | Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31? | BUY | 0.9839998529 | $5.19 |
| 07-24 19:22 | Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.38 |
| 07-24 19:16 | Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.769999868 | $1.05 |
| 07-23 19:13 | Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599998864 | $1.07 |
| 07-23 19:06 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.19 |
| 07-03 12:04 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July? | SELL | 0.49 | $0.67 |
| 07-01 21:36 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July? | BUY | 0.7599998538 | $1.04 |
| 06-30 04:00 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $7.50 |
| 06-25 08:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999939 | $1.24 |
| 06-25 08:30 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998459 | $1.24 |
| 06-25 08:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $1.35 |
| 06-22 11:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.14 |
| 06-17 07:57 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999266 | $12.10 |
| 06-16 17:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399995465 | $1.24 |
| 06-15 09:58 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.02 |