pauleta23
0x6b23c73159b753c96d3c1ed94413f113300c04a3
- Realised P&L
- $243.0k
- Volume
- $15.05M
- Markets traded
- 46,694
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded46,694
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.690 | 0.540 | $1.1k | −$305.84 |
| Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Bianca Andreescu · Bianca Andreescu | 0.620 | 1.000 | $48.33 | +$18.33 |
| Will Kansas City Current win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.909 | 1.000 | $44.98 | +$4.06 |
| Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.290 | 1.000 | $34.47 | +$24.47 |
| Will AD Cali win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.750 | 1.000 | $26.66 | +$6.66 |
| Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.382 | 1.000 | $26.17 | +$16.17 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos · Chiefs | 0.514 | 0.655 | $25.47 | +$5.47 |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) · Patriots | 0.440 | 0.995 | $22.60 | +$12.60 |
| Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-11-01? · No | 0.500 | 0.555 | $22.20 | +$2.20 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos · Broncos | 0.311 | 0.345 | $22.19 | +$2.19 |
| AD Cali vs. Boyacá Chicó FC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.980 | 1.000 | $20.40 | +$0.40 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.315 | $20.20 | −$1.60 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.760 | 0.705 | $18.55 | −$1.45 |
| Spread: Patriots (-1.5) · Patriots | 0.560 | 1.000 | $17.85 | +$7.85 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.940 | 0.830 | $17.66 | −$2.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.1kat 0.309US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rincon
- +$9.9kat 0.200Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
- +$9.9kat 0.313Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
- +$8.9kat 0.370LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner
- +$8.6kat 0.426Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:29 | Nets vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.16 | $2.68 |
| 11-02 00:29 | Nets vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.16 | $6.27 |
| 11-02 00:29 | Spread: Nets (-13.5) | BUY | 0.939999717 | $1.86 |
| 11-02 00:29 | Spread: Nets (-13.5) | BUY | 0.93 | $2.79 |
| 11-02 00:29 | Spread: Nets (-13.5) | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 11-02 00:29 | Spread: Nets (-1.5) | BUY | 0.169999998 | $4.15 |
| 11-02 00:29 | Spread: Nets (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1699999988 | $8.55 |
| 11-02 00:15 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 23:59 | Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Bianca Andreescu | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 23:47 | Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 202.5 | BUY | 0.1 | $4.70 |
| 11-01 23:43 | Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 23:41 | Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.8799999615 | $1.83 |
| 11-01 23:41 | Will CA Lanús win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.6599998765 | $1.39 |
| 11-01 23:41 | Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 23:40 | Will CA Lanús win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.6599998765 | $1.39 |