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Traders

lilya45

0x6b2387bc39740945306a599f07ad6489412fad2b

Realised P&L
$-94.80
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$628.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration62.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8890.850$612.18−$28.46
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? · Yes0.8500.830$16.60−$0.40
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m? · No0.7430.000$0.00−$8.00
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) · Ian Machado Garry0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 20:40Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.85$17.00
08-10 16:06UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.25$5.00
08-10 16:06Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.83$89.32
08-03 12:47Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.86$166.99
07-22 01:20Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.9849999792$9.00
06-07 09:23Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?BUY0.92$7.36
06-07 09:22Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.91$4.55
06-07 09:15Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.51$3.44
05-28 17:49Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.87$4.35
03-16 19:02Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.7399998964$5.00
02-08 19:18Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.8895108611$909.08
01-23 13:09Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?SELL0.998$962.99
01-11 17:33Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.998$963.00
12-15 18:58Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?BUY0.7429999873$8.00
12-15 18:57Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.9949999756$40.00