Rdl
0x6b1cdcfec73c9c849a7e1a9b4f4c697bd0585fe8
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $1.94M
- Markets traded
- 676
- Open portfolio
- $33.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded676
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$574.07at 0.351Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$380.00at 0.240Will Joey Chestnut eat 65 or more Hot Dogs?
- +$352.31at 0.130Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?
- +$208.70at 0.043Tesla Robotaxi unveiling delayed?
- +$162.19at 0.340Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:19 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.161 | $0.81 |
| 09-21 16:06 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.69 |
| 09-21 15:53 | Will Netanyahu say "Uranium" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 09-21 15:25 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.052 | $0.26 |
| 09-21 14:48 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0397714286 | $1.74 |
| 09-21 14:35 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.061 | $0.34 |
| 09-21 12:11 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-21 11:34 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.136 | $2.43 |
| 09-21 11:34 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.136 | $1.02 |
| 09-21 11:34 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.135 | $1.35 |
| 09-21 10:58 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.096 | $0.72 |
| 09-21 10:55 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.207 | $2.51 |
| 09-21 10:53 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.6506666667 | $4.88 |
| 09-21 10:53 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.65 | $9.75 |
| 09-21 10:53 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.35 | $5.25 |