Rdl
0x6b1cdcfec73c9c849a7e1a9b4f4c697bd0585fe8
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $1.35M
- Markets traded
- 493
- Open portfolio
- $130.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded493
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$574.07at 0.351Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$380.00at 0.240Will Joey Chestnut eat 65 or more Hot Dogs?
- +$352.32at 0.130Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?
- +$208.70at 0.043Tesla Robotaxi unveiling delayed?
- +$162.19at 0.340Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 17:03 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.90 |
| 08-05 15:06 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 14:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $23.93 |
| 08-05 14:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.486 | $2.43 |
| 08-05 14:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.501 | $2.50 |
| 08-05 14:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.4992861073 | $21.78 |
| 08-05 13:22 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.379 | $5.68 |
| 08-05 13:04 | Will Trump say "Police Officer" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.31 | $5.08 |
| 08-05 07:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $3.64 |
| 08-05 06:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4999383425 | $20.03 |
| 08-05 06:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 08-05 02:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.406 | $10.13 |
| 08-05 02:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.406 | $5.32 |
| 08-05 02:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.406 | $4.47 |
| 08-05 02:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.406 | $2.78 |