PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

2257801392

0x6b1afe6e18b60b4cfaf6c0e8391fc9928879c7b1

Realised P&L
$-128.35
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
707
Open portfolio
$24.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded707
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 25? · Yes0.3201.000$3.12+$2.12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25? · Yes0.5201.000$1.92+$0.92
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 26? · Yes0.3000.435$1.45+$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 26? · Yes0.2500.360$1.44+$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 26? · Yes0.3600.455$1.26+$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 25? · Yes0.3100.390$1.26+$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26? · No0.5500.680$1.24+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 26? · Yes0.1740.215$1.23+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 26? · No0.5000.575$1.15+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 26? · No0.8800.915$1.04+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 26? · Yes0.3100.320$1.03+$0.03
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 25? · No0.9701.000$1.03+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 25? · No0.9000.890$0.99−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 27? · No0.8800.840$0.95−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26? · Yes0.2900.275$0.95−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 09:04Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 27?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-25 05:44Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 26?BUY0.25$1.00
09-25 05:39Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 26?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-25 05:39Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 27?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
09-25 05:20Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
09-25 05:18Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-25 03:52Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 26?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-25 03:01Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 25?BUY0.97$1.00
09-25 02:53Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 26?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-24 22:51Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-24 22:21Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 26?BUY0.5$1.00
09-24 22:21Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 26?BUY0.7$1.00
09-24 22:13Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 25?BUY0.32$1.00
09-24 22:11Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 25?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
09-24 22:01Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 26?BUY0.29999994$1.00