0x6b0b360072b4187d9cd0ec068a9c7c4d6f4fca40
- Realised P&L
- $536.48
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 273
- Open portfolio
- $37.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar24.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded273
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.96at 0.077Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?
- +$12.59at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 28?
- +$11.78at 0.090Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?
- +$10.63at 0.300Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
- +$7.09at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 19:30 | Will two people dissent the December Fed decision? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.16 |
| 07-30 19:07 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.26 |
| 07-30 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.2199999439 | $2.90 |
| 07-30 18:18 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.62 | $0.37 |
| 07-30 16:20 | Will three people dissent the December Fed decision? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.16 |
| 07-30 16:20 | Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? | BUY | 0.529999994 | $4.40 |
| 07-30 16:20 | Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision? | BUY | 0.5899999819 | $4.88 |
| 07-30 16:02 | Will Manolito Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo) | SELL | 0.046 | $0.23 |
| 07-30 15:51 | Will EkkoTheNeeko Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo) | BUY | 0.5899998112 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 15:51 | Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo) | BUY | 0.9 | $4.55 |
| 07-30 15:51 | Will Sol1xd Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo) | BUY | 0.629999937 | $3.20 |
| 07-30 15:51 | Will Siler Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo) | BUY | 0.7899999802 | $4.00 |
| 07-30 15:02 | Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5799999962 | $3.05 |
| 07-30 15:02 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5899999543 | $3.10 |
| 07-30 15:02 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6499999618 | $3.40 |