cloudtoground
0x6b06dadbfd9114e9d6ef49ca352e0b2d37961d46
- Realised P&L
- $-179.32
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $69.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.26at 0.323Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 2?
- +$26.53at 0.485Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 5?
- +$25.32at 0.792Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 2?
- +$21.13at 0.543Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on October 2?
- +$20.88at 0.331Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 23:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.9881812451 | $62.70 |
| 10-05 23:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.42 |
| 10-05 23:24 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.91 |
| 10-05 23:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $32.43 |
| 10-05 23:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $100.68 |
| 10-05 23:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $25.00 |
| 10-05 23:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.914 | $50.00 |
| 10-05 22:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.3903036855 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 22:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.300737666 | $12.68 |
| 10-05 22:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.4127886323 | $11.62 |
| 10-05 22:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.5287125703 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 21:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.173406407 | $18.30 |
| 10-05 21:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.8779973825 | $50.00 |
| 10-05 21:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 21:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.6842975161 | $30.00 |