0x6B025355D035A679205aE23DE33c7E9abe71E5fC-1772307556000
0x6b025355d035a679205ae23de33c7e9abe71e5fc
- Realised P&L
- $-4.4k
- Volume
- $1.70M
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $39.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.125US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$1.4kat 0.322Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.262Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
- +$955.49at 0.476US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$554.26at 0.918Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 14:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 14:39 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.00 |
| 09-20 14:39 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy) | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 14:39 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.0886629615 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 11:17 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $11.00 |
| 09-19 11:16 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $11.21 |
| 09-14 08:37 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 08:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 19:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1838709618 | $3.00 |
| 09-10 18:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 18:32 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 18:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.2940985184 | $15.28 |
| 09-09 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.2946273828 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 21:53 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $2.00 |