PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6B025355D035A679205aE23DE33c7E9abe71E5fC-1772307556000

0x6b025355d035a679205ae23de33c7e9abe71e5fc

Realised P&L
$-4.4k
Volume
$1.70M
Markets traded
135
Open portfolio
$39.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded135
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.165$15.47+$0.47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1680.045$12.88$35.12
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy) · Yes0.1600.130$8.13$1.88
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.0890.055$3.10$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 30? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 29? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5720.000$0.00$32.22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · No0.1110.000$0.00$25.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4110.000$0.00$17.00
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on September 6? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$3.10
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.3950.000$0.00$16.54
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 29? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 29? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 7? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 14:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.1399999989$10.00
09-20 14:39NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.16$4.00
09-20 14:39Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy)BUY0.16$10.00
09-20 14:39Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.0886629615$5.00
09-19 11:17NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.16$11.00
09-19 11:16Iran full airspace closure by September 30?SELL0.06$11.21
09-14 08:37Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
09-14 08:36Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-10 19:48Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.1838709618$3.00
09-10 18:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.2099999983$10.00
09-10 18:32Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.1$10.00
09-10 18:31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.2099999983$20.00
09-10 07:59Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 10?BUY0.2940985184$15.28
09-09 14:21Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 9?BUY0.2946273828$20.00
09-08 21:53Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.1299999948$2.00