0xD669E44F7187FAc7B7ADE72DDbf6325e7Dd737c2-1773217598700
0x6b01849895a04a767a6b993ad56ad12e71221e75
- Realised P&L
- $11.98
- Volume
- $745.59
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $170.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.98at 0.874Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 10:25 | Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.9637065926 | $130.10 |
| 10-01 03:00 | Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $29.40 |
| 10-01 03:00 | Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $25.20 |
| 09-30 01:24 | Will the Democrats win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 09-30 01:23 | Will the Republicans win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.163 | $3.26 |
| 09-28 09:46 | Will the Democratic Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 09-28 09:46 | Will the Republican Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 09-28 09:45 | Will the Democratic Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.89 | $22.96 |
| 09-28 09:45 | Will the Republican Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.84 |
| 09-26 08:02 | Will Democrats win white women in the midterms? | BUY | 0.76 | $22.80 |
| 09-26 08:02 | Will Republicans win white women in the midterms? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.40 |
| 09-13 06:42 | Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.869 | $117.31 |
| 09-13 06:42 | Will the Republicans win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.70 |
| 09-11 12:06 | Will the Democrats win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $11.90 |
| 09-11 12:05 | Will the Republicans win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |