helpfy
0x6afda0a34d6b79961e6b9ce4c58cf4ac3bb92bee
- Realised P&L
- $-270.91
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $56.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.95at 0.609Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$47.30at 0.820Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?
- +$43.85at 0.750Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?
- +$39.30at 0.869Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$39.12at 0.790New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 09:42 | Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.9689999996 | $50.00 |
| 02-21 15:25 | Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on February 23? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.37 |
| 02-20 07:07 | Will Josie Hofmann (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.025 | $4.70 |
| 02-19 20:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 24? | BUY | 0.014 | $3.23 |
| 02-16 23:56 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 20? | BUY | 0.06 | $10.81 |
| 02-16 01:54 | Will Booster Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.35 |
| 02-16 00:57 | Will Jason Anavitarte win the GA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.50 |
| 02-15 09:23 | Will "Homefront" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.035 | $7.56 |
| 02-15 01:35 | Will Sam Burns win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am? | BUY | 0.029 | $8.74 |
| 02-13 15:48 | Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am? | BUY | 0.026 | $4.04 |
| 02-12 22:06 | Will Legzdina win Supernova 2026? | BUY | 0.035 | $5.64 |
| 02-10 21:18 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $155? | BUY | 0.021 | $2.59 |
| 02-10 08:54 | Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $124-$126 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13? | BUY | 0.056 | $8.11 |
| 02-10 05:24 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on February 13? | BUY | 0.012 | $3.31 |
| 02-08 14:10 | Will the price of Solana be above $50 on February 11? | BUY | 0.022 | $3.49 |