0x6AFb7ADc743147BE577c610591135d7C5De35144-1770318419969
0x6afb7adc743147be577c610591135d7c5de35144
- Realised P&L
- $256.34
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in October? · No | 0.967 | 0.981 | $541.43 | +$7.18 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $310 end of October? · No | 0.987 | 0.960 | $297.97 | −$8.23 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in October? · No | 0.933 | 0.929 | $209.35 | −$0.90 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $304 in October? · No | 0.943 | 0.875 | $107.99 | −$8.37 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in October? · No | 0.925 | 0.969 | $57.80 | +$2.64 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 end of October? · No | 0.980 | 0.895 | $39.04 | −$3.71 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in October? · No | 0.984 | 0.962 | $38.43 | −$0.90 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $232 in August? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of April? · No | 0.968 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.59 |
| Will Amazon reach $260 in April? · No | 0.982 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.50 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $320 in August? · No | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.52at 0.956Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $184 in July?
- +$31.39at 0.943Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $450 in June?
- +$25.27at 0.967Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in July?
- +$17.63at 0.994Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?
- +$14.72at 0.770Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 on February 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 22:39 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in October? | BUY | 0.984 | $39.33 |
| 10-08 19:44 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in October? | BUY | 0.9709999994 | $38.79 |
| 10-05 21:45 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in October? | BUY | 0.9589999996 | $67.02 |
| 10-04 23:35 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in October? | BUY | 0.96 | $99.84 |
| 10-04 23:32 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in October? | BUY | 0.9679999999 | $199.74 |
| 10-04 22:44 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $304 in October? | BUY | 0.94 | $99.76 |
| 09-30 21:41 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in October? | BUY | 0.9 | $84.26 |
| 09-30 21:40 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $310 end of October? | BUY | 0.99 | $199.92 |
| 09-27 14:22 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in October? | BUY | 0.9709999998 | $157.14 |
| 09-27 14:21 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $310 end of October? | BUY | 0.98 | $48.97 |
| 09-26 13:35 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $310 end of October? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.20 |
| 09-26 13:34 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $310 end of October? | BUY | 0.98 | $48.11 |
| 09-26 13:34 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 end of October? | BUY | 0.98 | $42.75 |
| 09-25 18:23 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $330 end of September? | BUY | 0.998 | $141.72 |
| 09-25 18:23 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $290 end of September? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.91 |