PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sooth

0x6af47bb5e04dc1de133eaa7cb371f787e9304f1e

Realised P&L
$29.28
Volume
$20.8k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$100.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0040.150$100.91+$98.39
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$9.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November? · No0.6600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00−$2.63
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November? · No0.4090.000$0.00−$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-21 02:46Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.51$25.49
05-21 02:46Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.112$2.24
05-05 20:58Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.303$3.64
05-05 20:53Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.68$33.99
05-03 21:42Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.0062460962$1.00
11-17 19:50Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?BUY0.6599998733$5.00
11-17 19:37Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?BUY0.2899999275$2.00
11-17 16:42Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?BUY0.45$9.00
11-16 17:49Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?SELL0.6437414648$206.47
11-16 17:49Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?SELL0.0748478462$25.86
11-15 05:20Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?BUY0.01$1.00
11-15 05:20Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?SELL0.02$8.66
11-15 05:07Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?SELL0.155$109.41
11-14 04:39Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? SELL0.78$97.08
11-13 18:51Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?BUY0.15$6.00