0x6aeb732c1d36ca9f3d2784084fd561b23bcaa174
0x6aeb732c1d36ca9f3d2784084fd561b23bcaa174
- Realised P&L
- $5.36
- Volume
- $115.76
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $13.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.665 | $4.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Northern Ireland vs. Georgia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.325 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Uganda vs. DR Congo end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.315 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.625 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Ukraine vs. Hungary end in a draw? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.315 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Liechtenstein vs. Gibraltar end in a draw? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.345 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.705 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.275 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Romania vs. Sweden end in a draw? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.235 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.82at 0.386Will United States win on 2026-10-03?
- +$4.67at 0.532Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04?
- +$0.45at 0.636Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?
- +$-0.10at 0.972Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?
- +$-0.10at 0.950Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 07:08 | Will Ukraine vs. Hungary end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 07:07 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 07:07 | Will Uganda vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 07:06 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 07:06 | Will Liechtenstein vs. Gibraltar end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 07:05 | Will Northern Ireland vs. Georgia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 07:05 | Will Romania vs. Sweden end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 07:04 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 07:03 | Will Northern Ireland vs. Georgia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 07:02 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6499999594 | $4.00 |
| 10-04 07:17 | Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 07:14 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 21:52 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.6 | $2.40 |
| 10-03 21:52 | Will United States win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $4.00 |
| 10-03 21:50 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | SELL | 0.59 | $7.27 |