PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dadadadayazi

0x6ae0a24ae0797e62332852a52ae321e330177483

Realised P&L
$-6.8k
Volume
$3.67M
Markets traded
1,227
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,227
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.8240.810$547.43−$9.60
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.7520.775$497.39+$15.00
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5270.755$433.37+$131.03
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.3310.345$61.68+$2.55
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$2.40
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.98
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Colombia? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$2.40
Exact Score: Curaçao 1 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.60
Exact Score: Scotland 2 - 1 Brazil? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$1.40
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Sweden? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$2.20
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$3.60
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$2.00
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Egypt? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$2.35
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Morocco? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.20
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 13:57Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.5267247387$302.34
11-01 08:42Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.3629338843$175.66
11-01 01:45Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.3652859351$118.17
10-31 12:59Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.33$6.60
10-31 12:59Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.33$6.60
10-31 12:58Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.34$10.20
10-31 12:58Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.34$6.80
10-31 12:58Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.3197427131$37.41
10-31 09:06Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.3426686075$141.25
10-31 07:38Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.3810891089$192.45
10-31 05:24Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.3367838219$535.17
10-31 05:22Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.4166666667$25.00
10-31 05:17Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.3290640404$1.1k
10-27 08:58Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?SELL0.16$0.80
10-27 08:35Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?BUY0.3$1.50