tela6687
0x6ae0775d67368f9546636fc28763459263b9e59e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.56
- Volume
- $19.3k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $0.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luke Combs be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes | 0.301 | 0.002 | $0.00 | −$0.99 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · No | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.78at 0.450Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
- +$1.88at 0.516Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$1.15at 0.634Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?
- +$0.35at 0.953Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$0.28at 0.947Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 06:57 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 06:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 06:55 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 08:09 | Will Luke Combs be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | BUY | 0.3009998019 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 08:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.9469999981 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 08:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 08:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 04-21 14:44 | Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.0689999387 | $1.00 |
| 04-21 14:44 | Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.5159998824 | $2.00 |
| 04-21 14:43 | Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May? | BUY | 0.6339999106 | $2.00 |
| 03-19 16:50 | Will Trump sanction Venezuela by Friday? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 03-07 07:20 | Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 02-22 13:31 | Will Trump remove tariff on China before March? | BUY | 0.984999999 | $5.00 |
| 02-22 13:30 | No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 12-25 14:02 | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | SELL | 0.977 | $4.13 |