ChefDellSXM
0x6adf20f36bb12a1a87ae0819f8b186fe47b2aa0e
- Realised P&L
- $-81.20
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $158.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.690 | $73.40 | +$23.40 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.075 | $33.52 | −$20.11 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.063 | $26.25 | −$32.55 |
| Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.023 | $10.29 | −$20.12 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.205 | $10.25 | −$7.25 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.004 | $4.50 | −$17.50 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Down | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Up | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.95at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
- +$-17.40at 0.016Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 12:46 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.12 | $53.63 |
| 08-27 19:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | SELL | 0.0027674716 | $3.57 |
| 08-27 14:18 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $58.80 |
| 08-24 14:31 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 08-23 00:04 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.022 | $22.00 |
| 08-22 23:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.28 |
| 08-22 23:48 | Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.068 | $3.40 |
| 08-22 23:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 12:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 12:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 12:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 12:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 08:05 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0122186525 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 07:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1049307745 | $25.00 |
| 08-08 07:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1126895314 | $25.00 |