pikachusplace
0x6adcccb0ea0b93a66e67f0d7b2b625b135a8beba
- Realised P&L
- $-881.3k
- Volume
- $20.29M
- Markets traded
- 345
- Open portfolio
- $131.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded345
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.254 | 0.335 | $131.9k | +$31.7k |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$198.4k |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$974.03 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$164.8kat 0.489Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
- +$117.1kat 0.420Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1
- +$106.0kat 0.320LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- +$93.6kat 0.210Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?
- +$77.1kat 0.554Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 12:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.22 | $25.0k |
| 10-27 12:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.24 | $375.66 |
| 10-26 03:20 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.9k |
| 10-17 19:25 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.3k |
| 10-15 19:34 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.28 | $648.88 |
| 10-15 00:50 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.26 | $523.97 |
| 06-23 23:17 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.63 | $296.45 |
| 06-23 13:04 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1979999945 | $25.83 |
| 06-23 13:04 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.198 | $4.8k |
| 06-20 23:39 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.197 | $28.3k |
| 06-20 23:39 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.197 | $58.7k |
| 06-20 18:16 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | BUY | 0.3899999996 | $497.33 |
| 06-20 18:14 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | BUY | 0.3920036603 | $146.8k |
| 06-16 01:22 | Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999974 | $48.65 |
| 06-15 19:00 | Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999992 | $100.34 |