crankshawjamescfb
0x6ad8eaf75ea3619346473898d03c384d3d7eee56
- Realised P&L
- $13.44
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $25.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 28? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.997 | $25.34 | −$0.06 |
| Louisville vs. Miami · Miami | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.97at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 1?
- +$4.03at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2?
- +$1.07at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?
- +$0.93at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4?
- +$0.19at 0.840Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 14:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.40 |
| 09-17 15:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.38 |
| 09-07 15:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.32 |
| 08-27 16:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.28 |
| 08-17 15:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.25 |
| 08-05 16:36 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.22 |
| 08-05 01:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 08-04 14:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 08-03 16:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.2k |
| 08-01 17:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.2k |
| 07-31 17:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.9959995188 | $2.1k |
| 07-31 17:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 1? | BUY | 0.9989999534 | $21.00 |
| 07-24 16:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.96 |
| 07-14 15:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on July 15? | BUY | 0.998999998 | $20.94 |
| 07-04 16:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.92 |