0x6ad509baaadfd5c4b76ad0f151b4a96041bd12e9
0x6ad509baaadfd5c4b76ad0f151b4a96041bd12e9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $70.8k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.835 | $3.7k | +$852.53 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.836 | 0.879 | $1.6k | +$77.88 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? · Yes | 0.706 | 0.865 | $969.30 | +$177.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$170.81at 0.888Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
- +$-8.33at 0.822Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-16.03at 0.321Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
- +$-146.94at 0.188Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-166.55at 0.784Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 14:31 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8399999987 | $503.66 |
| 10-05 23:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8369999969 | $52.00 |
| 10-05 23:44 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8369999993 | $595.37 |
| 10-05 21:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.829 | $51.52 |
| 10-05 21:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.829 | $298.44 |
| 10-01 11:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.8k |
| 09-30 15:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.6 | $2.1k |
| 09-30 12:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.66 | $2.3k |
| 09-29 21:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4499999996 | $500.00 |
| 09-29 19:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $600.00 |
| 09-24 23:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6699999998 | $2.0k |
| 09-24 20:23 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.7085714286 | $24.80 |
| 09-24 20:22 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.69 | $21.80 |
| 09-23 21:13 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.79 | $125.89 |
| 09-22 21:53 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.7930894309 | $58.53 |