0x6acacbc00ade0a69136da81914a1f2f600ee09df
0x6acacbc00ade0a69136da81914a1f2f600ee09df
- Realised P&L
- $-128.33
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $63.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.938 | 0.895 | $17.62 | −$0.85 |
| Will "Best of the Best" be the top global Netflix movie this week? · No | 0.944 | 0.900 | $16.65 | −$0.81 |
| Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.915 | 0.925 | $14.60 | +$0.16 |
| Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week? · No | 0.930 | 0.910 | $13.49 | −$0.30 |
| Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week? · No | 0.950 | 0.935 | $1.46 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.12at 0.804Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
- +$21.18at 0.704Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 14 million views this week?
- +$9.85at 0.754Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 21 million views this week?
- +$8.59at 0.822Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- +$7.33at 0.892Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 12 million views this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 18:05 | Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.939999812 | $1.80 |
| 09-26 18:05 | Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9399995688 | $1.09 |
| 09-26 18:05 | Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9399999892 | $6.98 |
| 09-26 18:05 | Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9299999962 | $2.46 |
| 09-26 17:37 | Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9099999582 | $1.74 |
| 09-26 17:37 | Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.09 |
| 09-26 17:37 | Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9099998551 | $4.71 |
| 09-26 11:56 | Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.54 |
| 09-26 11:56 | Will "Best of the Best" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.95 | $14.76 |
| 09-26 11:56 | Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9099999829 | $1.60 |
| 09-26 11:55 | Will "Best of the Best" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9099999899 | $2.70 |
| 09-26 11:04 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week? | BUY | 0.9305870099 | $7.82 |
| 09-26 11:02 | Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.90 |
| 09-26 04:34 | Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week? | BUY | 0.9499998395 | $1.48 |
| 09-26 03:05 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $5.97 |