PrivateEquityy
0x6ac8b1e3a5ee59f3e35ec77ff9c1802622e3c41d
- Realised P&L
- $834.80
- Volume
- $131.8k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.098 | 0.865 | $1.8k | +$1.6k |
| Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.354 | 0.645 | $656.80 | +$296.40 |
| Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.318 | 0.815 | $304.55 | +$185.84 |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.510 | 0.695 | $245.11 | +$65.25 |
| StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.306 | 0.545 | $240.89 | +$105.65 |
| Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.697 | 0.675 | $133.56 | −$4.39 |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.218 | 0.125 | $125.00 | −$93.00 |
| Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.421 | 0.993 | $87.99 | +$50.65 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.013 | $86.34 | −$2.14 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.494 | 0.034 | $39.19 | −$538.45 |
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.330 | 0.495 | $4.91 | +$1.64 |
| Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.231 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$252.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.300USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$409.58at 0.313Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?
- +$374.30at 0.012Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$188.76at 0.524Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$88.63at 0.473Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 18:14 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.032 | $640.00 |
| 06-02 21:48 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $240.00 |
| 05-19 20:04 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.42 | $1.4k |
| 04-23 20:49 | Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.38 | $8.16 |
| 04-23 20:21 | Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5307594748 | $17.79 |
| 04-23 20:20 | Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2207324129 | $60.28 |
| 04-23 19:26 | Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5330927636 | $611.23 |
| 04-23 19:24 | Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.60 |
| 04-23 19:17 | Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2411818468 | $30.61 |
| 04-23 19:13 | Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.264488189 | $167.95 |
| 04-23 13:44 | Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.36 | $43.64 |
| 04-23 13:44 | Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.37 | $20.88 |
| 04-22 23:41 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.59 | $1.7k |
| 04-22 18:59 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.218 | $218.00 |
| 04-22 18:44 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.34 | $510.00 |