venicemerchant
0x6ac7fa9974f41d149727bb87f1917f2b8f659d30
- Realised P&L
- $613.84
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $449.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar50.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kosner Baskonia vs. Manresa · Kosner Baskonia | 0.837 | 0.990 | $118.24 | +$18.24 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.785 | $99.37 | −$0.63 |
| BC Dubai vs. Zadar · BC Dubai | 0.900 | 0.900 | $50.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05? · Yes | 0.756 | 0.755 | $49.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? · Yes | 0.847 | 0.845 | $49.87 | −$0.13 |
| Partizan vs. U-BT Cluj-Napoca · Partizan | 0.831 | 0.815 | $49.07 | −$0.93 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No | 0.456 | 0.986 | $21.62 | +$11.62 |
| Celtics vs. Magic · Celtics | 0.700 | 0.805 | $11.50 | +$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$613.84at 0.340Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$55.82at 0.790NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
- +$7.69at 0.929Real Madrid vs. Burgos
- +$7.18at 0.933Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:31 | Partizan vs. U-BT Cluj-Napoca | BUY | 0.8305220797 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 11:29 | BC Dubai vs. Zadar | BUY | 0.9 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 11:16 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? | BUY | 0.847219424 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 11:15 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05? | BUY | 0.7560233173 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 11:12 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 11:09 | Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 11:07 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.699999965 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 11:00 | Kosner Baskonia vs. Manresa | BUY | 0.8368542638 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 10:59 | Real Madrid vs. Burgos | BUY | 0.9253731341 | $100.00 |
| 10-23 19:20 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 10:08 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3 | $90.00 |
| 10-05 16:44 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.35 | $138.54 |
| 10-05 16:41 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.35 | $70.00 |
| 09-22 13:50 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.4559999909 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 13:44 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999994 | $210.00 |