PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

venicemerchant

0x6ac7fa9974f41d149727bb87f1917f2b8f659d30

Realised P&L
$613.84
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$449.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar50.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kosner Baskonia vs. Manresa · Kosner Baskonia0.8370.990$118.24+$18.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03? · Yes0.7900.785$99.37−$0.63
BC Dubai vs. Zadar · BC Dubai0.9000.900$50.00+$0.00
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05? · Yes0.7560.755$49.93−$0.07
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? · Yes0.8470.845$49.87−$0.13
Partizan vs. U-BT Cluj-Napoca · Partizan0.8310.815$49.07−$0.93
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.4560.986$21.62+$11.62
Celtics vs. Magic · Celtics0.7000.805$11.50+$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:31Partizan vs. U-BT Cluj-NapocaBUY0.8305220797$50.00
11-01 11:29BC Dubai vs. ZadarBUY0.9$50.00
11-01 11:16Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?BUY0.847219424$50.00
11-01 11:15Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?BUY0.7560233173$50.00
11-01 11:12Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.7899999997$100.00
11-01 11:09Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.9299999997$100.00
11-01 11:07Celtics vs. MagicBUY0.699999965$10.00
11-01 11:00Kosner Baskonia vs. ManresaBUY0.8368542638$100.00
11-01 10:59Real Madrid vs. BurgosBUY0.9253731341$100.00
10-23 19:20Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.2899999968$10.00
10-20 10:08Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.3$90.00
10-05 16:44Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.35$138.54
10-05 16:41Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.35$70.00
09-22 13:50Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.4559999909$10.00
09-22 13:44NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999994$210.00