0x6abe45f893abe614f5f12664f68a6531b603d761
- Realised P&L
- $-25.46
- Volume
- $870.80
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $3.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.021 | $3.57 | −$1.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.24at 0.519Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$-0.33at 0.511Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$-0.50at 0.006Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.018Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
- +$-1.36at 0.018Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next YouTube video?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 20:38 | Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.154116022 | $14.00 |
| 03-25 08:11 | Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.34 | $5.10 |
| 03-09 13:24 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.05 |
| 03-08 16:34 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5109999913 | $15.17 |
| 03-08 16:34 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.5109995993 | $15.25 |
| 03-08 16:33 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5190056254 | $15.49 |
| 03-08 16:30 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.0302199868 | $5.19 |
| 03-08 13:08 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.50 |
| 03-08 13:04 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0183673282 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 13:04 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 21:04 | Will MrBeast say "Impossible" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.0369999746 | $1.36 |
| 03-07 21:04 | Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.0175729766 | $1.36 |