daniellepham
0x6ab635c4e9c1a30f9767fd579989bddab4044ffc
- Realised P&L
- $-36.53
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $25.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October? · No | 0.770 | 0.780 | $25.31 | +$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.12at 0.530Spread: Texans (-2.5)
- +$11.45at 0.740Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$9.12at 0.560Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-27?
- +$5.25at 0.820Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 29?
- +$0.82at 0.360Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.5399999877 | $13.20 |
| 01-31 14:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | BUY | 0.97 | $12.86 |
| 01-30 16:34 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.21 |
| 01-30 15:24 | Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.05 |
| 01-30 14:47 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999833 | $10.81 |
| 01-30 13:24 | Will Opendoor reach $10.25 in January? | BUY | 0.9989228264 | $64.72 |
| 12-30 11:17 | Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025? | BUY | 0.996999796 | $3.90 |
| 12-30 11:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.01 |
| 12-30 10:22 | Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.20 |
| 12-30 09:34 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999495 | $19.02 |
| 12-29 23:26 | Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.47 |
| 12-29 19:47 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.995 | $48.32 |
| 10-31 15:14 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $15.09 |
| 10-30 19:33 | Will XRP reach $3.50 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.79 |
| 09-29 17:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.60 |