qitianqiqi
0x6ab256b2d82e8704c00bb718b1ae59ff69888ce1
- Realised P&L
- $-103.53
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $13.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by September 30? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $10.59 | −$0.01 |
| Harvard vs. Brown · Harvard | 0.820 | 0.825 | $2.48 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on April 22? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 5? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.66 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 1? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,600 on January 18? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.00at 0.960Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 28 - March 7?
- +$1.44at 0.780Hornets vs. Thunder
- +$0.70at 0.993Will Elon tweet 425-449 times April 4 - 11?
- +$0.48at 0.995Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$0.23at 0.990Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 11–18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 13:04 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.9989999633 | $10.60 |
| 09-25 13:00 | Harvard vs. Brown | BUY | 0.82 | $2.46 |
| 08-01 06:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.00 |
| 06-08 06:38 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999901 | $92.00 |
| 05-28 09:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $91.00 |
| 05-28 09:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 28? | BUY | 0.998999334 | $1.20 |
| 05-28 09:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.10 |
| 05-22 12:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $94.00 |
| 05-17 08:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 17? | BUY | 0.9989999899 | $90.00 |
| 05-17 08:56 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 98°F or higher on May 17? | BUY | 0.9979998387 | $1.20 |
| 05-17 08:56 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.10 |
| 05-17 08:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17? | BUY | 0.9989999474 | $1.90 |
| 05-17 08:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.40 |
| 05-12 09:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $97.00 |
| 05-12 09:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |