0x6aa2764cc842a783c88a278c484944e96d5c4c20
- Realised P&L
- $-2.27
- Volume
- $45.37
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $6.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.240 | 0.720 | $3.00 | +$2.00 |
| Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? · No | 0.420 | 0.515 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.755 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.760 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.095 | $0.15 | −$0.85 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.670 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.06at 0.490Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.52at 0.660US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.34at 0.748Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.31at 0.767Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 17:54 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 09:24 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:08 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:00 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:59 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 06:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 22:36 | Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 22:27 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 13:57 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 05:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:03 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 08:58 | Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 00:02 | Will Macy's say "China" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 12:29 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |