condogreturns2
0x6aa2672a51b507be50d6d8b3230f35098f126a1b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $408.0k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $599.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.082Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$720.06at 0.275Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$684.54at 0.300Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$667.37at 0.364US military action against Iran before July?
- +$542.73at 0.257US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 04:02 | Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 04:01 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 03:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? | BUY | 0.0987334197 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 03:53 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.3654320983 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 03:52 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $100.00 |
| 10-23 07:35 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1558371766 | $150.00 |
| 10-23 07:31 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1250439886 | $50.00 |
| 05-23 20:18 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | SELL | 0.1136238705 | $150.89 |
| 05-01 03:01 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | BUY | 0.26 | $12.48 |
| 05-01 03:01 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | BUY | 0.2591875 | $207.35 |
| 05-01 03:00 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 05-01 02:59 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 04-16 04:39 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | SELL | 0.1124226949 | $561.13 |
| 04-12 02:11 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1444526605 | $52.08 |
| 04-10 23:43 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.0390750379 | $52.07 |