PolyBot

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Traders

condogreturns2

0x6aa2672a51b507be50d6d8b3230f35098f126a1b

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$408.0k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$599.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.085$141.67+$41.67
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1560.144$139.09−$10.91
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.3650.360$98.51−$1.49
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.3100.285$91.94−$8.06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? · Yes0.0990.064$64.31−$35.69
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0700.045$64.29−$35.71
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$99.94
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00−$46.45
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00−$59.97
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision? · Yes0.1520.000$0.00−$99.94
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$54.65
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$19.99
Israel strikes Iran by October 31? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$141.93
US forces in Venezuela by October 31? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$244.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 04:02Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?BUY0.3099999992$100.00
10-30 04:01Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.07$100.00
10-30 03:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?BUY0.0987334197$100.00
10-30 03:53Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.3654320983$100.00
10-30 03:52Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06$100.00
10-23 07:35Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.1558371766$150.00
10-23 07:31Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1250439886$50.00
05-23 20:18Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?SELL0.1136238705$150.89
05-01 03:01Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?BUY0.26$12.48
05-01 03:01Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?BUY0.2591875$207.35
05-01 03:00Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?BUY0.25$20.00
05-01 02:59Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?BUY0.25$100.00
04-16 04:39Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?SELL0.1124226949$561.13
04-12 02:11Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?BUY0.1444526605$52.08
04-10 23:43Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?SELL0.0390750379$52.07