PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

1shot1shill

0x6aa261fb89f006665667e10279ccd4931a442d9e

Realised P&L
$-417.36
Volume
$30.4k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$312.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0370.036$285.26$4.94
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0440.043$27.05$0.95
Hornets vs. Celtics · Hornets0.4570.000$0.00$163.76
Will Saint Louis win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$10.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00$181.83
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$50.00
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.1920.000$0.00$50.00
Thunder vs. Suns · Suns0.3930.000$0.00$20.00
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves · Nuggets0.5390.000$0.00$88.20
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$50.00
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$50.00
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$3.00
Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 03:48Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.033$26.38
09-15 03:47Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.044$28.00
09-15 03:46Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.033$18.08
09-15 03:37Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.032$27.00
09-15 03:36Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.044$44.00
09-02 12:36Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0439999996$100.00
09-02 12:35Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0429999996$100.00
07-12 01:09Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.205$25.72
07-04 19:15Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0689999997$242.44
06-21 18:16Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0359999997$118.75
04-26 00:28Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.5299999981$85.46
04-25 20:26Thunder vs. SunsBUY0.25$12.41
04-07 23:43Hornets vs. CelticsBUY0.3699999992$129.90
04-07 01:23Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.7177570055$16.00
04-07 01:12Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan WolverinesBUY0.7299999987$83.62